Ribald
Banned
- Local time
- Today 1:30 AM
- Joined
- Mar 16, 2014
- Messages
- 221
Today I heard someone make an argument against humans developing AI because "we would all get fat and lazy like in the movie WALL-E."
This frustrates me. 99% of people know everything they know about robotics, for instance, because they have seen movies like I Robot, Terminator, 2001 ASO, etc.
In my opinion, that is kind of pathetic, and it frustrates me to hear these people chime into discussion about the future as if they know something based on having seen a handful of movies whose plots are dramatizations of technology-gone-wrong. All they seem to be able to contribute, as a result, is vague paranoia: "WHAT IF SKYNET???!?!?"
In The Terminator, Skynet, an artificial superintelligence, goes online in 1997. Here is why it is a bad idea to get your scientific knowledge from Hollywood. Apparently in the movie, 1997 is still very 1997, barring that one exception--you know, the artificial superintelligence that scientists seem to have created at least 40 years ahead of schedule, according to even the most optimistic projections.
That's about as unrealistic as movie physics gets, and movie physics is pretty much awful without exception. Even Gravity, renowned for its realism, had numerous incongruities with reality. Other "scifi" movies are so absurdly unrealistic they might as well be movies about magic. The Core certainly comes to mind. People see these movies and are given the impression of realism when there is none whatsoever.
There is absolutely no way Skynet could have been created in 1997, or 2014, or 2024. To place an artificial superintelligence in the world of 1997 is completely out of context and gives you license to do just about anything with it you damn well please, namely making a pretty badass action movie or 3 or 4.
By the time we have the capability to make even a human level AI (which Skynet seems to have completely and conveniently leapfrogged), the world will be a completely different environment both socially and technologically. I don't think any knowledgeable person would argue that we wouldn't really know what to do with such an AI today and it might even be a disaster. It is presumable that we will have a better idea once we actually have the capability to make the thing in the first place. Things tend to converge like that. Analogously, why not have a movie where some guy in the year 1000 BC invents a car? I guess he would be pretty excited about it until he realized there were no driveable roads, no gas stations, no replacement parts, and no possibility of either for another 2900 years. Of course the real question is how the fuck someone in 1000 BC would invent a car in the first place.
You can apply this to just about any scifi movie, and it hardly ends with AI. One of my favorites is GATTACA, a movie which apparently foretells the dangers of genetic engineering because it will cause.... discrimination! As if the world we are in right now does not involve discrimination. Let's not kid ourselves: your genes are highly important toward finding a job and a mate in this world. We are unashamed genetic discriminators already.
Nevermind the obvious holes this presents. First, why would we assume that Ethan Hawke's character couldn't benefit at all from the present technology. It appears that his brother gets every last shred of benefit tech has to offer, but Hawke is left with a weak body and a heart condition that scientists are still scratching their heads over, even though they have the tech to create genetically perfect superbabies. Huh. Nor in this highly technologically advanced world can Jude Law's character be cured of paraplegia. In 2014 we can't design genetically perfect babies yet by a long shot, but we are getting pretty damn close to being able to cure spinal cord injuries. Some few people are even walking around in exoskeletons at this point. In GATTACA, Jude Law rolls around in a wheel chair. Presumably the year is somewhere in the 2020s or 2030s. Not realistic.
The point is, merely screaming out "WHAT ABOUT GATTACA!" in response to debate about genetic therapy is a fool's argument, and I want you all to be able to differentiate. There's certainly more to speak of, though. GATTACA presents these genetic designer humans as if they aren't actually a fucking miracle. How on Earth could that not be seen as a good thing? If we can help people be the fittest and healthiest they can be, we should. The only possible objection is "inequality", but like I said, inequality is already very much the case. Are we to banish all new technologies because they give the people who use them benefits that others don't get? That sounds pretty short sighted, considering these techs always fall in cost and are eventually made widely available. If you disagree, you should be prepared to block a lot of other things too. Scientists find a cure for cancer? You should be against it, too.
Inequality is a problem, yes, but it is not the answer and end of every single debate about any conceivable thing like some people think it is. Those people are annoying as shit.
As for WALL-E, my god, what a stupid movie that was. A future where we have advanced space travel technology, human level AI, and chairs that float in mid air, but we haven't figured out how to solve the problems of obesity or loss of bone density? Am I fucking retarded? Am I going crazy? I bet that almost no one who saw that movie recognized the conflict there. It's a lonely world for thinkers like me. I think I might have made that point here before, though.
Scifi always amounts to a bizarre extrapolation of the current day. Hopefully we will stop mentioning movies as talking points in discussions about the future of technology.
This frustrates me. 99% of people know everything they know about robotics, for instance, because they have seen movies like I Robot, Terminator, 2001 ASO, etc.
In my opinion, that is kind of pathetic, and it frustrates me to hear these people chime into discussion about the future as if they know something based on having seen a handful of movies whose plots are dramatizations of technology-gone-wrong. All they seem to be able to contribute, as a result, is vague paranoia: "WHAT IF SKYNET???!?!?"
In The Terminator, Skynet, an artificial superintelligence, goes online in 1997. Here is why it is a bad idea to get your scientific knowledge from Hollywood. Apparently in the movie, 1997 is still very 1997, barring that one exception--you know, the artificial superintelligence that scientists seem to have created at least 40 years ahead of schedule, according to even the most optimistic projections.
That's about as unrealistic as movie physics gets, and movie physics is pretty much awful without exception. Even Gravity, renowned for its realism, had numerous incongruities with reality. Other "scifi" movies are so absurdly unrealistic they might as well be movies about magic. The Core certainly comes to mind. People see these movies and are given the impression of realism when there is none whatsoever.
There is absolutely no way Skynet could have been created in 1997, or 2014, or 2024. To place an artificial superintelligence in the world of 1997 is completely out of context and gives you license to do just about anything with it you damn well please, namely making a pretty badass action movie or 3 or 4.
By the time we have the capability to make even a human level AI (which Skynet seems to have completely and conveniently leapfrogged), the world will be a completely different environment both socially and technologically. I don't think any knowledgeable person would argue that we wouldn't really know what to do with such an AI today and it might even be a disaster. It is presumable that we will have a better idea once we actually have the capability to make the thing in the first place. Things tend to converge like that. Analogously, why not have a movie where some guy in the year 1000 BC invents a car? I guess he would be pretty excited about it until he realized there were no driveable roads, no gas stations, no replacement parts, and no possibility of either for another 2900 years. Of course the real question is how the fuck someone in 1000 BC would invent a car in the first place.
You can apply this to just about any scifi movie, and it hardly ends with AI. One of my favorites is GATTACA, a movie which apparently foretells the dangers of genetic engineering because it will cause.... discrimination! As if the world we are in right now does not involve discrimination. Let's not kid ourselves: your genes are highly important toward finding a job and a mate in this world. We are unashamed genetic discriminators already.
Nevermind the obvious holes this presents. First, why would we assume that Ethan Hawke's character couldn't benefit at all from the present technology. It appears that his brother gets every last shred of benefit tech has to offer, but Hawke is left with a weak body and a heart condition that scientists are still scratching their heads over, even though they have the tech to create genetically perfect superbabies. Huh. Nor in this highly technologically advanced world can Jude Law's character be cured of paraplegia. In 2014 we can't design genetically perfect babies yet by a long shot, but we are getting pretty damn close to being able to cure spinal cord injuries. Some few people are even walking around in exoskeletons at this point. In GATTACA, Jude Law rolls around in a wheel chair. Presumably the year is somewhere in the 2020s or 2030s. Not realistic.
The point is, merely screaming out "WHAT ABOUT GATTACA!" in response to debate about genetic therapy is a fool's argument, and I want you all to be able to differentiate. There's certainly more to speak of, though. GATTACA presents these genetic designer humans as if they aren't actually a fucking miracle. How on Earth could that not be seen as a good thing? If we can help people be the fittest and healthiest they can be, we should. The only possible objection is "inequality", but like I said, inequality is already very much the case. Are we to banish all new technologies because they give the people who use them benefits that others don't get? That sounds pretty short sighted, considering these techs always fall in cost and are eventually made widely available. If you disagree, you should be prepared to block a lot of other things too. Scientists find a cure for cancer? You should be against it, too.
Inequality is a problem, yes, but it is not the answer and end of every single debate about any conceivable thing like some people think it is. Those people are annoying as shit.
As for WALL-E, my god, what a stupid movie that was. A future where we have advanced space travel technology, human level AI, and chairs that float in mid air, but we haven't figured out how to solve the problems of obesity or loss of bone density? Am I fucking retarded? Am I going crazy? I bet that almost no one who saw that movie recognized the conflict there. It's a lonely world for thinkers like me. I think I might have made that point here before, though.
Scifi always amounts to a bizarre extrapolation of the current day. Hopefully we will stop mentioning movies as talking points in discussions about the future of technology.