No, correlation does not = causation. However, why should we give reason some special status of being beyond natural and then not do this for instinct? What the correlation does do is tell us that something is happening in the brain at the time the instinct or reason occurs.
I want you to watch this and then give your thoughts on it.
I will attempt to condense the material in the video down to its main points and address them. I will list points with "P"'s and I will list disputes that I have with a "D:" notation:
P1 : The soul (mind) is an object separate from the body and can experience sensations and respond to stimuli.
D : This premise would need supporting evidence. An attempt was made to do this later in the vid.
P2: The soul is either synonymous with consciousness (Descartes), or it is this and also the animating force of the body (Aristotle).
D: Why define the soul as a thing separate from consciousness in the first place if they are indistinguishable? If consciousness is the "driver", then it would also be an animating force. Cars that are not self-driving do not move without someone to turn the key and press the gas pedal.
P3: Consciousness consists of sensations, desires, thoughts, and free choice.
D: This is definitional, so I will proceed here with this definition in mind.
P4: Without consciousness, a material object cannot know of its own existence (an electron, for example).
D: Assuming that there exists something separate from the material to account for sensations, choice, thought, etc, which they refer to as a "soul" or consciousness, how could it be proved that an electron has no soul? In other words, if consciousness does not arise from the material, why is it not possible for it to inhabit the inanimate (like an electron), and therefore be aware of its own existence? If one were to answer that the electron has no nervous system, then it would imply that consciousness is indeed dependent upon the material.
P5: Consciousness' arrival into the material universe does not seem to be necessary, the universe could have existed without it.
D: I cannot disprove this suggestion. However, the same can be said for most things that exist in the universe. The universe could have done without them and still been a universe, though not the exact same one we know.
P6: Consciousness according to the naturalist, involves getting something out of nothing (ex nihilo argument)
D: For this statement to be true, the naturalist would have to be arguing what the people in the video are arguing, that consciousness is separate from material reality (thereby arising from no material causal factors). Emergence is still a state that is predicated upon the existence of SOMETHING.
P7: Conscious states are separate from brain states and cannot be measured (take pain, for example).
D: Prove it. So you cannot measure pain INTENSITY from self-report, yet you can definitively say that the experiencer has claimed to experience what we recognize as pain, and corresponding areas of the brain light up when pain is experienced. Prove that there is a such thing as a "conscious state" which is independent of brain architecture. The burden of proof lies upon the one making the claim.
P8: Consciousness is characterized by things not present in matter (intentionality), being about something. Thoughts can be true or false, but brain states cannot.
D: Are you sure brain states cannot be true or false? Last time I checked, a truth statement can indeed be made about whether someone is "happy" or "sad", "awake" or "asleep."
P9: A material object cannot be reduced to one particular property (color is more than just wavelength of light, for example)
D: While a material object may have more properties than we are able to perceive with our senses, the conjunction of the object which sends the information (the photon) and that which receives the information (the eye) gives rise to the perception which is interpreted by an interpretor (the brain). These are both material things. What immaterial things could account for this, and how could we measure them? Could a soul see a color without an eye or brain?
P10: Mental experience cannot be reduced to physical things because they do not share the same properties.
D: Prove the mental experiences are not contigent upon certain physical structures being present, and that the mental experience, while not reducible to each component alone, is not a property of emergence.
P11: We are born natural dualists, and most of us have believed in a soul cross-culturally, therefore physicalism cannot be true.
D: Ok, so this study, for example:
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/07/110714103828.htm. So, if a common belief is a near universal experience, does that make it true? If people, for example, universally tended to believe that the earth was flat since it appeared so, would this make it true? Are we certain that this "universal" belief does not arise from something inherent in the subjective experience of consciousness? Are belief and truth synonymous?
P12: The possibility of an afterlife implies that something must exist to experience the afterlife, and since the body dies, it cannot be the body that does this.
D: Possibility arises out of a state of having access to limited information for predicting the future. An argument from ignorance does not prove the existence of a soul, at best it could only prove the POSSIBILITY and not the CERTAINTY of the existence of a soul. Prove that the afterlife exists, and then we can talk about the existence of a vessel for experiencing said afterlife, but there would not be much talking to do here, since an afterlife (a perception) would need a perceiver in order to be proven to exist.
P13: Near death experiences are evidence that the soul exists
D: This is not so. If near death experiences can be explained using physical means, then it does not necessitate the existence of a soul. See here:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-near-death-experiences-reveal-about-the-brain/. The key phrase is NEAR death. My understanding of the phenomenon is that there is still brain activity ocurring during these experiences, which means that there is still a PHYSICAL thing present that can account for the phenomenon. For this to be evidence of the soul, an immaterial thing, the individual would have had to experience death, not near death, and so far we have not been able to reanimate actually dead people to ask them about their experiences in the next life. Even then, one would still have to say that some random damage to the neurons that occurred from death was not responsible for that person's experiences.
P14: The Ship of Theseus thought experiment presents an argument that the soul must exist because something whole must remain despite the fact that our bodies are changing constantly. I am a whole person even though my cells are being swapped out constantly.
D: What if the concept of a "whole" thing is in our minds? A slice of pizza is still called pizza. Or, what if the "whole" is an emergent property arising from material things? Must pizza have a soul to justify its existence as pizza when I slowly remove and replace slices? This does not prove the existence of a soul. Another example: If I clone a hard drive, and it has a game on it, the exact matter involved in the display of information (the game) has changed, but the information conveyed has not. Does the game have a soul, and is it not the same game?
P15: Free will is the decision made at the moment of a choice one has made, and nothing else determined it.
D: To prove the existence of such a thing, an "agent" would have to exist as an entity without prior causation. Your "choice" was contigent upon the existence of the material factors that went into it. In order to choose chocolate ice cream over vanilla, those things needed to have existed, and you a, "chooser", needed to exist as well. Decision does not demonstrate a gap in the causal chain, it reaffirms it.
P16: If determinism is true, then deliberation is impossible. Reason is free will.
D: Quite the contrary, deliberation is: "the act of thinking about or discussing something and deciding carefully." This thought process is DEPENDENT upon and DETERMINED by the things it is thinking about. Deliberation about sandwiches cannot exist without all of the causal factors that led to the creation of sandwiches, nor without the determining factors that led to the development of deliberating organs (or even the soul if it is what is responsible for deliberation). The soul (assuming its existence) could still be said to be the determinant of reason and deliberation.
P17: The application of punishment or praise is contingent upon free will's existence.
D: This is not true. Isn't the goal of punishment and praise (assuming one is not instinctively punishing and praising) to change behavior? Wouldn't this imply that one would believe behavior is determined by factors which include reward and punishment? If reward and punishment had no bearing on affecting future behavior, why administer it? The converse is of their claim is true here. The assumption of punishment and praise being useful as behavior controls are CONTINGENT upon the premise that behavior is determined. Free will would suggest that there is nothing you could to change someone's behavior, as it is undetermined and therefore not open to outside influence.
P18: Emergence is not a solution, it is the thing to be solved. Appealing to emergence still does not answer why since it is a brute fact (fact without further explanation), and "it just is" is not a sufficient answer.
D: Wouldn't there have to be a handful of brute facts in order for the universe to exist? Things that "just are?" This is going to get into causal chain arguments.
P19: Something arises from nothing with emergence (impossible), matter has no capacity for consciousness.
D: False. Emergence is contingent upon the existence of its components. Wikipedia: "In philosophy, systems theory, science, and art, emergence occurs when a complex entity has properties or behaviors that its parts do not have on their own, and emerge only when they interact in a wider whole." Those new "properties" and "behaviors" do not exist independent of their parts. Water has emergent properties which are the results of the interactions between hydrogen and oxygen, but those properties rely upon not nothing but something (hydrogen and oxygen getting a little cozy with each other). If matter has no capacity for consciousness, then why do our brains seem to contain it?
P20: How could consciousness arise out of more complex arrangements of matter?
D: How does any emergent property arise from more complex arrangements of matter? I'm not sure we know the answer to this, but one cannot claim to be honestly seeking the truth and simply fill in the blanks here with placeholders like the existence of a "soul." Argument from ignorance:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argument_from_ignorance
P21: Sorites problem: how many grains of sand must be removed for a heap of sand to no longer be a heap. What is the minimum complexity threshold for consciousness to arise?
D: This does not exclude emergence as an explanation for consciousness. Cool, we have a word describing the concept of a heap. We get to decide the required number of grains of sand that constitute a heap. Some law we either are or are not aware of determines the minimum level of complexity necessary for consciousness to arise. Remove a brain cell, people are generally still said to be conscious. Remove the whole brain except for one cell, we would probably say that they are not conscious. Somewhere in process of removing neurons, the firings of the neurons probably occur in a manner that would resemble what we would call consciousness a lot less. I don't know this number. We would need way more precise descriptions of what makes one "conscious" to determine this. When they stop exhibiting behaviors that are considered NECESSARY components of consciousness, then they are no longer conscious.
P22: God is first cause as a necessary brute fact. Avoids infnite regress problem. God is solution to infinite regress.
D: Is God the ONLY possible solution for infinite regress? If not, then this proves nothing.