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Forum Mafia Game #2

PmjPmj

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I'll chime in later with my thoughts, but very quickly:

1) I feel like a fucking idiot (rightly so) for voting Habbodabbodudu.

2) RB - previously on my FOS list - highlighted the stupidity of myself (>_>) and the move in no uncertain terms. Therefore, he's either a sneaky mafia player, or a role affiliated with the town.

I see no reason to pursue him currently.
 

redbaron

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My first reflex though is that if Sinny flips scum, then I think Pmj is scum as well. Few things:

- he expressed suspicion of her, but locked his vote into Hado
- despite the fact I was the biggest detractor of Sinny who he was (apparently) suspicious of, he actually went after me and started talking about how I was, "suspicious" for thinking Hado was town (who happened to be the person he said he'd tunnel)
- I rattled his cage in return, and he turned from "it's an online game lol get over it" into acting indignant that I'd insulted him (when I didn't actually insult him) - Maybe this isn't a legit scumtell in itself, but to me it just seems manipulative and inconsistent and in conjunction with the other stuff I read it as such.
- he's not as new as I thought, and I turned out wrong about my Happy read on Day 1 (where I thought Pmj/Happy had switched playstyles so it was Happy mafia and Pmj Town - so this isn't an entirely new line of thought, but I couldn't target a player on Day 1 who hadn't had much input)

- Also, I'm not sure if this next part is a legit read, but I get the impression that people most often say how "sorry" they are if they're scum and not Town - because they genuinely do feel some amount of sorry for doing scummy work and getting people like Hado lynched. The YouTube video promise seems scummy as fuck to me:

Plus I'm noting here that Puffy and Zerkalo played the apologetic shtick to death in Game 1. I think people think it makes them look Town to be apologetic - because it makes it seem like they're unsure. But Town don't aplogize before-the-fact, since their entire motive is to hunt the fuck out of scum - they feel bad after-the-fact. This ties into:

- he's pretty much trying to deny that reading people's personalities is a legit way to read them, like he gets so uncomfortable about the fact that I managed to read Hado as Town and Sinny as scum, or that I'm bringing up things that are verifiably how and what scum actually do - that he starts attacking me for it.
- he even attacked Hado for saying shit that makes total sense as Town: like Cheeseums changing his avatar. It really makes no sense that he'd actively fight against things that cause less confusion for Town.

~

Anyway as I typed that out I realised that a lot of this is standalone evidence for him being scummy, whether Sinny flips red or not. So I see it like this:

- Lynch Sinny today
- If Gopher isn't counter-claimed, he's going to get NK'd because it's obvious he's doctor
- If Gopher isn't NK'd, lynch Gopher tomorrow since you're probably scum and this is a gambit
- If Gopher is NK'd, lynch Pmj

So either way, I think the outcomes are covered. If you're full of shit you're still going to die - and we're still lynching one of my top2 scum-reads today. There's no way that Gopher+Sinny can survive past Day4 in this scenario - and if you're genuine, then it sucks you're forced into role-claiming, but at least we're not wasting a Town lynch on our own doctor...

I'm going to analyse voting patterns later and see if Pmj as mafia stacks up, but those are my initial thoughts.
 

PmjPmj

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Haha! The timing couldn't have been better.

Give me a few mins.
 

redbaron

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Will be back later tonight. Ideally more people will chime in, and please don't vote Sinny just yet.

Unvote Sinny
Shadow Vote Sinny
 

The Gopher

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Anyway as I typed that out I realised that a lot of this is standalone evidence for him being scummy, whether Sinny flips red or not. So I see it like this:

- Lynch Sinny today
- If Gopher isn't counter-claimed, he's going to get NK'd because it's obvious he's doctor
- If Gopher isn't NK'd, lynch Gopher tomorrow since you're probably scum and this is a gambit
- If Gopher is NK'd, lynch Pmj

So either way, I think the outcomes are covered. If you're full of shit you're still going to die - and we're still lynching one of my top2 scum-reads today. There's no way that Gopher+Sinny can survive past Day4 in this scenario - and if you're genuine, then it sucks you're forced into role-claiming, but at least we're not wasting a Town lynch on our own doctor...

Just to point out either reluctantly or I am dying tonight mean's I'm the doctor. Assuming they have a Rb'ker still they could just Role Block me and kill Reluctantly. If neither reluctantly or I die tonight then well... lynch me then and if Rb'er dies and I don't die lynch me. If Role blocker is still alive and reluctantly dies then I'm town because otherwise I, the doctor would have saved him.

I hate having to do mafia theory for them but I just wanted to make the options clear.
 

PmjPmj

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Actually RB, I think you’ve made a decent case against me there. I can certainly see where you’re coming from. Let’s drill down in to a bit:

- he expressed suspicion of her [Sinny], but locked his vote into Hado

If I recall correctly, my initial vote for Sinny was a ‘lolvote’ at the start of the game. I then voiced my suspicion around anyone who overtly offers their insights so early on in the game, as it both deflects attention from oneself and also promotes a pro-town persona. However, I have long since reconsidered this as faulty reasoning.

I have since openly declared that Sinny is “A chill MF”, and therefore had no further reason to suspect her at present. I’ve had some communication with Sinny during my time on INTPf (we both love the aliens, innit) and I don’t see any disparity between her normal persona and the one she projects here. At the very least, she is consistent and therefore hard to read.

Yes, I have played a few games… but the last was very nearly a decade ago. They're pretty much irrelevant.

- despite the fact I was the biggest detractor of Sinny who he was (apparently) suspicious of, he actually went after me and started talking about how I was, "suspicious" for thinking Hado was town (who happened to be the person he said he'd tunnel)

Again (and as per my post above yours) I have since reconsidered this.

- I rattled his cage in return, and he turned from "it's an online game lol get over it" into acting indignant that I'd insulted him (when I didn't actually insult him) - Maybe this isn't a legit scumtell in itself, but to me it just seems manipulative and inconsistent and in conjunction with the other stuff I read it as such.

Yeah, I don’t know where I was going with that. When things get heated, I like to push buttons to see what happens. You almost immediately cooled off and revealed nothing of use. It was part frustration (operating on 3-4 hours of sleep will do that to a guy) and part wanting to poke you with a stick. I’m a bastard for that sort of thing IRL. ‘Social experiments’, as I call them. It's a good way to find out what's at someone's core.

- Also, I'm not sure if this next part is a legit read, but I get the impression that people most often say how "sorry" they are if they're scum and not Town - because they genuinely do feel some amount of sorry for doing scummy work and getting people like Hado lynched. The YouTube video promise seems scummy as fuck to me

Nah, that was simply misguided fervour. My gut so rarely wrong that I trust it implicitly. To give you an example, during one of the last games I played I successfully called out three mafia members on day 2 - but I had the benefit of knowing them (some IRL) and experience of previous games with them. Obviously, I had more data to work with there and could extrapolate more accurate predictions. That doesn’t translate here, where I don’t really know any of you. Hado was a mistake, and I’ve since calmed down / backed off, because I realise how weak my position actually is.

I think your observation about apologies is interesting, but it doesn’t apply to me. INTJ, dear. I’m more sorry that I was wrong :p

- he's pretty much trying to deny that reading people's personalities is a legit way to read them, like he gets so uncomfortable about the fact that I managed to read Hado as Town and Sinny as scum, or that I'm bringing up things that are verifiably how and what scum actually do - that he starts attacking me for it.

I think you mistook me here. I wasn’t so much attacking you, but I do think I was beginning to get frustrated with the fact that I’m clearly on the back foot here. I’m enjoying the game, but it’s like I’m seeing in greyscale. You have the benefit of previous games / knowledge of the players here, which is a huge boon. You get to see the nuances in behaviour. The best I can do at the moment (perhaps more, as of today - more data to go on) is bang people over the head with a brick to see what spills out.
- he even attacked Hado for saying shit that makes total sense as Town: like Cheeseums changing his avatar. It really makes no sense that he'd actively fight against things that cause less confusion for Town.

Like your opinion on apologetic natures, my own view on being overtly pro-town is misguided. In a rather ISTJ moment, I allowed past precedent to predict probable outcomes. It has been my experience that people who are a bit ‘too’ pro-town usually have something to hide. I don’t think this is hard to understand.

Overall, I can see your case and I think, some misguided perceptions aside, you are bringing perfectly valid reasons to suspect me to the fore. All I can offer is that I am a vanilla townie. If however you decide to bandwagon me, so be it. Just be aware that doing so means it’ll be one step closer to a mafia win… but then so far, I haven’t really contributed much, have I? So maybe I’m worth a punt.

If nothing else, you’ll learn something for the next game. Christ knows I have.

If anyone else wants to prod / poke me, go ahead. I *should* have a fairly free day today.
 

PmjPmj

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Sorry, clarification - the misguided fervour thing re: the youtube video.

I was simply saying that "I am so confident in my perceptions that I will do something stupid if I'm wrong". Like a more modern twist on the "If X, I'll eat my hat".
 

PmjPmj

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I'm glad everyone has been so active on my one fairly free morning.

*cries in the corner*
 

Sinny91

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Do people want to lynch me or Sinny today?

Good morning to you to.

I've been absent quite a while, just catching up now.

Hado, once again dude.. just WHYY.
Next time you draw Townie, could you just act like a regular Townie?! Without all your additional gambits. Proofs in the pudding, you cause more damage than good.
 

Sinny91

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Oops, just pressed edit on that last post, but didn't edit it!
 

QuickTwist

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Jennywocky

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Dammit, Gopher. If you really are town, I really want to smack both you and Hado up alongside the head at this point. Obviously some of it is all our faults, but...damn.

I'm starting my workday and have meetings coming up shortly. I see your Day 2 logic, but need to reread. I also massively need to rethink what's been happening here before I start commenting again, so I don't screw something else up. I'll get back later today once I get a break.

... Sorry, PMJ.
Here, have a Twinkie or something.

[bimgx=350]https://momeefriendsli.files.wordpress.com/2016/03/img_9329.jpg[/bimgx]
 

ika

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vote sinny

nothign changed yet. not surprised by doc early claim.
 

Sinny91

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Well, well, well...

Gambling Goph, goes for the Gambit.

I'll be the first to say it then; Don't just take his word for it.

Hado was willing to suicide himself to prove he wasn't the Mafia in the Goph/Hado dynamic, and Hado outlined exactly what Goph would do in this situation, which is: Anything to save his own bacon.

Hado didn't want to give him the room to wriggle free. Gopher knows that the true Doc can't counter claim because that would out them and make them the next NK, which would hand the win to scum, effectively. He's riding on this claim going unchallenged..

I implore Town to think a little deeper

From my perspective, at least one Mafia has been setting the pace around here. Look at the activity levels, look who's pushing wagons and narratives.

I know I'm clean, and I want to know on what fucking basis that I'm the top scum read?! Who's pushing the narrative that I'm the top scum read? Who's influencing this very hastful, and very WRONG mislynch?

I rest my case.

Well for now. I'm on a phone, and this is rather difficult.
 

PmjPmj

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I implore Town to think a little deeper

Yeah, I'm thinking along the same lines.

I'm not too sure I like the bandwagon against you.

Either way, Gopher was originally on my FOS. I also (obviously) now trust Habodaboduong. Therefore:

Vote Gopher

If he hangs and proves to be the doc, though, you're going to be in the crosshairs. With me, apparently.
 

Sinny91

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I figure he and (I suspect) Baron have set me up take the fall either now or immediately after. Which is fine by me, just so long as Town can avoid a mislynch RIGHT NOW.
 

Sinny91

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And on that note:

Vote Gopher
 

PmjPmj

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RB was calling me out on my shitty Hado vote, though. All the while he was fingering (heh) Gopher, wasn't he?

I can't see that they're in cahoots, if that's the case. Unless they're playing a very clever game, of course.

I'd like to hear from you, RB. Updated views on myself, and your views on Gopher.
 

The Gopher

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Now that's an interesting gambit. If you both are mafia I would bet Sinny is the Rb'ker and you don't want to lose to a cop read.

Deciding to vote for me this early without questioning me and pressuring me about my Docness or even asking "a real doc" to come out. Which lets face it. Right now if a "real doc" came out. The game would practically be over.

We would have one mafia confirmed, although you would have to work out if I or the other guy is the doc as mafia might risk a counter claim and try to go one for one instead of 0 for 1. Two town confirmed and unless the doc was someone everyone things is town.... which apart from the called roles nobody does, it would be a benefit there as well.

I'm fine with you proving you are town, I'm fine with you proving RB is mafia. I'm fine with you hunting mafia. I am not fine with you lynching me based on this and the rest of town shouldn't be either.
 

The Gopher

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That said I actually think PMJ's defense was pretty good I'm curious about RB's thoughts as well. But recent behavior hasn't alleviated suspicion. I mean it is possible RB has played Hado and I and if so bravo, however if you truly believed RB and I were in cahoots I imagine you would vote for him first simply because I have the medic claim and then day 4 the "real" medic could claim ending the game. (Because there is never a reason not to mass claim day four)
 

Sinny91

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I've suspected Baron for a while now.

On day one he buddied Hado for no reason at all, even Hado was suspicious of how Baron could be so sure.

Then he Bussed Gopher, and has been telling everyone that I'm scum, taking orders from Gopher.. He then bussed Gopher more saying he'd lynch Goph first, then me. But Goph has conveniently claimed giving Baron cause to lynch me first.

I don't buy any of it. Out of all the unknowns or null reads, what qualifies me as the top scum read? Have I played such shitty town?
 

Sinny91

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Oh and FYI, I'm happy to lynch Baron. But it appears that I lack the support right now.
 

The Gopher

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I'm actually looking to RB/someone else to make that case, my thoughts being that if he can't then maybe something is up. I've shown I can make quite convincing sounding cases on two people so far who are both town... Basically I can convince myself of anything, both a strength and a weakness at times. Also if someone else makes the case it doesn't become polarized around me.

My thing on you is mostly intuition and pattern reads and a bunch of mafia tells all bundled into one. I can go looking for it if nobody else steps up though.

If it turns out Mafia is something redic like Ika, Jenny and, Urakro I think I'm going to quit life and become a poet.
 

Sinny91

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Well, I've been waiting on a decent case against me for the last 5 pages or so.

When will the buck cease to be passed?
 

redbaron

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Unless someone counter-claims, Gopher is basically doctor because at this juncture the real doctor has no reason NOT to counter-claim.

This is why I say that voting patterns matter. Pmj you can sit there all day and tell me how my reasons are legit and that you've, "learned" but you're still sitting here telling me Gopher is higher chance of mafia than Sinny and trying to deflect me off Sinny.

I don't want to do scum-collusion theories before at least person flips red but this is starting to get laughable. There's no way Sinny is this hard to lynch without mafia input.
 

redbaron

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Going to bed and this looks like Gopher might legit end up as impulse lynch so:

Vote Sinny
 

Sinny91

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Unless someone counter-claims, Gopher is basically doctor because at this juncture the real doctor has no reason NOT to counter-claim.

.

There's no 'basically' about it.

The Doctor is between a rock and a hard place.

You know if the Doc's outed, the games over.

Stop ill advising Town.
 

The Gopher

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Oh and FYI, I'm happy to lynch Baron. But it appears that I lack the support right now.

So do you care about winning the game or which lynches have support? :D

If you think RB is mafia and if logically it makes sense to lynch him first if for some unknown reason the doctor is holding back a claim... make the support. Support is what mafia looks for to get town lynched.
 

PmjPmj

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Unless someone counter-claims, Gopher is basically doctor because at this juncture the real doctor has no reason NOT to counter-claim.

This is why I say that voting patterns matter. Pmj you can sit there all day and tell me how my reasons are legit and that you've, "learned" but you're still sitting here telling me Gopher is higher chance of mafia than Sinny and trying to deflect me off Sinny.

I don't want to do scum-collusion theories before at least person flips red but this is starting to get laughable. There's no way Sinny is this hard to lynch without mafia input.

Where did I try to deflect you? I've pretty much been going my own way, and encouraging others to do the same. I'm not trying to convince you of anything - just following my own convictions. Vote as you please (obviously).
 

Sinny91

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I care about winning.

And can we have a fucking vote count please.
 

The Gopher

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There's no 'basically' about it.

The Doctor is between a rock and a hard place.

You know if the Doc's outed, the games over.

Stop ill advising Town.

No that's silly. If #therealdoctor came out that means we would have one days where we have at two confirmed town doc and cop and one day with at least one confirmed town as well as a confirmed scum read. That makes it so much easier to catch scum and an easy time making association cases.

Also I see what you're doing. You're trying to imply you're the doctor to manipulate town when if you were the doctor and came out the game would be over for the hypothetical mafia.

The power town has is the lynch not the night actions. In fact most of the power from roles comes from late game being able to confirm people town.

Ika and RB voting for Sinny. (Gopher has a shadow vote on Sinny)

Sinny and PMJ voting for Gopher.

With 9 alive it takes 5 to lynch and I just realised I haven't updated my signature with time to eod.
 

The Gopher

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Sig updated, I do agree people need to think very seriously about this and particularly about voting since three mafia can pile on a lynch and they only need two town votes to be wrong to get that lynch.
 

ika

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There's no 'basically' about it.

The Doctor is between a rock and a hard place.

You know if the Doc's outed, the games over.

Stop ill advising Town.


no, if its scum faking it, the real doc needs to claim now. doesnt matter if doc eats a nk.
 

ika

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if there are really 9 alive and hes scum doc needs to out right now and CC the fuck out of him. its not lylo so i much rahter have a 1v1 now then lylo
 

ika

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Sig updated, I do agree people need to think very seriously about this and particularly about voting since three mafia can pile on a lynch and they only need two town votes to be wrong to get that lynch.

if anyone quick lynched or made a chain voting of 3 people in a short span it would give them away.

i mean i can tell what optimal play is for scum right now if you really are doc. considering i am probally the most expericed i will say later in yellow. iwant everyone to learn. i dont care if it makes me look scummy for it

i got to get ready for work ill be back later
 

The Gopher

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^ I'm going to bed now. If someone does fake claim though don't lynch me for it while I'm asleep. Remember mafia has three votes and only five are needed.
 

Jennywocky

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Okay.

First: /UN-shadowvote Gopher/
This is why it is good to talk things out.

As far as the Doctor goes: Trying to decide if I would claim if I were #therealdoc.
Scum Gopher, knowing he would be lynched, would be trying to flush out the real doc since he knows he is dead today (if Town lynches him) or tomorrow (if he gets a Town lynched). Might as well try to take the town doc with you, if you are going down. [Because Hado flipping green was Bad For Scum Gopher.]

If #therealdoc doesn't claim, Gopher will still be lynched today (if Town doesn't believe him) or tomorrow (if Town is convinced to mislynch). Town would lose a Town but probably not #therealdoc.

But I want to hear what Ika has to say since he has more experience. It sounds like there could be other priorities in play, and I don't know what he means by 1v1 (you mean a 1-1 kill tradeoff)?

Having reread his early post a few times, I think Gopher gave a plausible explanation for why he played it as he did. If I had been in his shoes and pressed by another player and knew I was a PR, I can see myself playing it the same way. Hado made a reasonable case for suicide note and I was warily considering it (to screw scum out of NK), but now with the idea that Gopher was doc, I see why he pushed hard on the lynch, which at the time ticked me off because I felt pressure to vote versus giving it another 24 hours.

Still working on my read list.
 

ika

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ok ill make it simple cus i have to go in a min, ill run each scnario:

scum!gopher: real doc CC him, makes a 1v1 today. numbers 6v3, even if we lynched the real one today the next day would be 4v3 with outed scum.
towncop!gopher: no possible unless the cop claimed is also fake.
towncit!gopher: real doc CC him, he should retract claim right then. even then its a sit gambit to pull

the summary of it is that today is 6v3 we have a lynch to spare before lylo (lynch or lose), if the real doc is to claim tommorw where we have 4v3 (even 5v3 doesnt matter overall) it makes it a 50/50 shot instead of a 100% chance

ok now i got work
 

ika

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1v1 basicly means "lynch me or lynch X" other cases can be where two PRS CC each other (ie doc/cop) henceforce only one can be town (not taking into account gambits) meaning one needs to be lynched
 

Sinny91

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no, if its scum faking it, the real doc needs to claim now. doesnt matter if doc eats a nk.

Okay.

Based on your advice I'm counter claiming. Out with it.

On all our heads be it..

This situation isn't optimal for me. Your Doctor is posting from phone, and has a lot of shit going on IRL right now.

I'm pretty sure I was free from all Doc suspicion, until now. Well done Gopher.
 

The Gopher

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Vote Sinny/

HAH SINNY IS SCUM SINNY IS SCUM! :D

Okay I don't need to hold back anymore because I know for a fact Sinny is scum.

Now who were you saving and why? Answer as soon as possible so you don't have time to make it up.
 

The Gopher

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Aug 26, 2010
Messages
4,674
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Also I wasn't able to sleep and it's a good thing as well.

Ika, Gopher and RB voting for Sinny.

Sinny and PMJ voting for Gopher.

With 9 alive it takes 5 to lynch.

I'm so glad I wasn't wrong with the Sinny read, honestly I think I would have gone insane if I got that many wrong.
 

The Gopher

President
Local time
Tomorrow 7:21 AM
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Aug 26, 2010
Messages
4,674
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Okay another reason for my play style, you know how I said I was initially creating conflict on myself day one? That's because I was planning on not dying but seeming like a viable lynch option for mafia the other days. It's the hide in plain sight doctor strategy which makes people think you can't possibly be doctor and be that vocal.

If you have any questions about why I did stuff in relation to being a doctor hit me with it.
 

The Gopher

President
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Also one last time. This lynch is vital. If I die then Reluctantly dies as well to the Nk. So whoever you think is telling the truth make sure. We still have one day and 10 hours to get it right.
 

Sinny91

Banned
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6,299
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Location
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"Ding dong the witch is dead"

Another celebration for the Scum team is it Goph?
 

The Gopher

President
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Who did you want to save Sinny? Speak now so you can't change your mind.
 

Sinny91

Banned
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Oh, and if your strategy is to out talk me to this lynches result, you may be successful. I'll be here struggling to keep up on my device.
 

The Gopher

President
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I won't. Since I know your scum making a legitimate full case will be easy. Also again "#therealdoctor" don't dodge the question, answer who you put your save on nights one and two.
 

Sinny91

Banned
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I saved Reluctantly twice, on the basis of Cop.. I had no idea who the cop was, and just went on the player who mentioned cop stuff, I was relieved and annoyed when she outed her self.
 

QuickTwist

Spiritual "Woo"
Local time
Today 2:21 PM
Joined
Jan 24, 2013
Messages
7,182
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Location
...
Players
1. PmjPmj - 0
2. Reluctantly - 0
3.Helvete
4. Breadbaron -0
5. hadototheMtotheothertothemotherfuckingblado
6. Jennywocky -0
7. Ika Bronto (The Shadow Cart) - 0
8. Sinny 91 - 3, ika, redbaron Gopher
9. The Gopher - 2, PmjPmj, Sinny 91
10. Rook Blarraun Cheeseumpuffs
11. Happy
12. Spacelog zerkalo - 0
13. Urakro - 0

Not Voting - 4, Reluctantly, Jennywocky, Spacelog, Urakro

With 9 alive it takes 5 to lynch.

Day Ends In: http://www.timeanddate.com/countdow...159&msg=Forum+Mafia+Day+3+Ending&font=cursive

Special Note:

Days are now 48 hours.

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